Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.360379e-05 4.024811e-05 0.000047 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.615756e-05 3.495360e-05 0.000045 0.000058 0.000073 0.000090 0.000110
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.953576e-05 2.900624e-05 0.000041 0.000056 0.000075 0.000097 0.000125
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.539496e-05 2.520513e-05 0.000038 0.000056 0.000079 0.000106 0.000142
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.169581e-05 2.123305e-05 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000111 0.000154
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.989974e-06 1.812026e-05 0.000032 0.000052 0.000080 0.000116 0.000165
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.302499e-06 1.622022e-05 0.000030 0.000052 0.000083 0.000124 0.000180
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.680648e-06 1.407519e-05 0.000028 0.000051 0.000084 0.000128 0.000191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.430789e-06 1.229748e-05 0.000026 0.000050 0.000085 0.000133 0.000202
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.379382e-06 1.062758e-05 0.000024 0.000048 0.000085 0.000137 0.000211
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.463983e-06 8.963429e-06 0.000022 0.000046 0.000084 0.000139 0.000219
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.708530e-06 7.384901e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000139 0.000224
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.072566e-06 5.951283e-06 0.000018 0.000042 0.000083 0.000144 0.000237
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.100186e-07 5.464677e-06 0.000018 0.000044 0.000089 0.000158 0.000263
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.695456e-07 4.396019e-06 0.000016 0.000042 0.000090 0.000163 0.000278
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.823284e-07 3.705974e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000092 0.000172 0.000297
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.327179e-07 2.889956e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000092 0.000176 0.000310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.448962e-08 2.260661e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000092 0.000181 0.000324
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.325279e-08 1.900318e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000095 0.000189 0.000344
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.606695e-09 1.487236e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000096 0.000194 0.000358
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.782423e-10 1.162640e-06 0.000010 0.000037 0.000096 0.000200 0.000374
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.066550e-15 8.761142e-07 0.000009 0.000036 0.000096 0.000204 0.000387
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.156478e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000095 0.000206 0.000397